LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 92.5%
Não 92.5%Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
26/08/26, 12:59 UTC31/12/26, 19:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsRegras
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
4 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência entre plataformas da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 8%. A dispersão entre plataformas é de cerca de 8 pontos percentuais.
Referencia CoinRithm 8% · 4 plataformas · 8 pt de dispersao entre venues
