Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
CommoditiesMonthlyPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleição21d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
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Referência guardada
D 55%Líder entre 4 opções
D 55%Qualidade do mercado
87 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
117,6 mil €
Liquidez
1,3 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
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DSpread
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Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
12/10/26, 16:10 UTC4/11/26, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 0,1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Profundidade de mercado · D
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Oil < $80; R Senate" if oil is less than $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "Oil < $80; D Senate" if oil is less than $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "Oil ≥ $80; R Senate" if oil is greater than or equal to $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "Oil ≥ $80; D Senate" if oil is greater than or equal to $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- Oil price: The oil price component will be determined based on the Close price for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") for the November 2, 2026 trading day.
- For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
