Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
Geopolítica
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Israel 100%Líder entre 38 opções
Qualidade do mercado
7 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 154 dias
Desatualizado28/02/26, 16:3731/03/26, 0:00
Tendências
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Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of a listed country on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage.
- Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted as Israel.
- Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Iran military action against ___ by March 31??
- A Polymarket cota Israel em 100% em 31 de março de 2026.
- Quando Iran military action against ___ by March 31? é resolvido?
- Iran military action against ___ by March 31? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de março de 2026.
- Como Iran military action against ___ by March 31? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of a listed country on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".