Probabilidade implícita atual
Very strong 53.8%-1.5ptLíder entre 4 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Very strong 53.8%-1.5ptQualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,8 mil €
Liquidez
3,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
5/10/26, 21:18 UTC21/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Koguma.
- Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Koguma in an analysis published for the storm.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- If JMA never assigns Koguma an intensity class, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- JMA's own bounds: "the named outcome" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "the named outcome" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more.
- JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY".