Probabilidade implícita atual
Very strong 97%+0.3ptLíder entre 4 opções
Very strong 97%+0.3ptQualidade do mercado
65 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
559,4 €
Liquidez
12,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.5 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
1
Variação 7d
+70.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
1/10/26, 20:22 UTC16/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 0,1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Choi-wan.
- Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Choi-wan in an analysis published for the storm.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- If JMA never assigns Choi-wan an intensity class, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- JMA's own bounds: "the named outcome" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "the named outcome" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more.
- JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY".
