PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Category 4 47.1%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Category 4 47.1%Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
12.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 minutos
8/10/26, 14:26 UTC22/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Simon (NHC designation EP202026).
- Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Simon in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm.
- The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average): Category 1 is 74 to 95 mph, the named outcome is 96 to 110 mph, the named outcome is 111 to 129 mph, the named outcome is 130 to 156 mph, and the named outcome is 157 mph or greater.
- Each category includes both of its stated bounds, so every possible peak wind speed falls in exactly one category.
- If Simon never reaches Category 1 strength, "the named outcome" will resolve to "Yes".
- Wind speeds will be used exactly as published, without rounding.