PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoLiquidado pelo provedor, mercado por mercado
Resolvido: 19 de set. de 2026, 04:06
Este evento não tem um único vencedor. O provedor liquidou cada mercado separadamente; cada mercado mostra seu próprio resultado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 20 de set. de 2026, 00:25 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
September 15100%
September 30100%
September 15Ganhou
September 30Ganhou
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time.
- A “Russian drone” refers to any drone that, based on a consensus of credible reporting, was launched from territory under Russia’s de facto control or was operated or directed by Russian forces.
- Where attribution remains ambiguous, the drone’s model and characteristics will be considered supporting evidence.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources.
- Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident.