PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No
Resolvido: 2 de jul. de 2026, 11:34
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
No
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
100%
ConsensoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 100%
Qualidade do mercado
23 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaCompra / Venda
- / 0.1%
Variação 7d
-1.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 60 dias
Desatualizado3/03/26, 23:1830/06/26, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
No100%
Yes0%
100%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
