PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
50%+ 81%+0.1ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
58 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,6 mil €
Liquidez
4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-1.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
23/07/26, 22:57 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
- The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/.
- If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again.
- If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used.