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  3. Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

IATecnologiaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
At least 50%
At least 50% 89%
Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado

40 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

23,6 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

85.0% / 89.0%

Spread

4.7%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

20/05/26, 14:0031/12/26, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

At least 50%89%

Regras

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

8,8 €
At least 70%: 53%KalshiKALSHI
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Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

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Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1,9 mil €
Sim: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

984,1 €
None in 2026: 70%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

479,3 €
Sim: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

441,2 €
Claude: 67%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,680.24+2.12%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.51%EthereumETH$1,650.31+1.26%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.55%BNBBNB$595.00+1.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%

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Regras

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.