KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
At least 50% · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
At least 50% 98.5%Líder entre 9 opções
At least 50% 98.5%Qualidade do mercado
54 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
903,4 €
Contratos em aberto
27,3 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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At least 50%Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
20/05/26, 14:00 UTC31/12/26, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · At least 50%
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
KalshiHighest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketWill Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Humanity's Last Exam
Regras de cada resultado
- At least 50%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 55%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 65%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 70%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 75%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 85%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 90%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 90% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 80%
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.