KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualAt least 70% 96%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
43 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
87.0% / 92.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
20/05/26, 14:0031/12/27, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
At least 60%87%
Tendência de volume
$2003 de jul.15d de dados27 de jul.
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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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GPU rental prices (H200) end of July?
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MANIFOLD MARKETS$100B AI training cluster before 2029?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSAtivos nestes tópicos
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If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.