PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
June 30 · —
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Referência guardada
June 30 75%
June 30 75%Qualidade do mercado
55 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
7,3 mil €
Liquidez
4,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaContratos em aberto
4,9 mil US$
Compra / Venda
— / —
June 30Spread
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Comentários
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 minutos
27/10/26, 20:50 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Não
Maiores detentores
Carregando maiores detentores
Profundidade de mercado · June 30
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On October 26, 2026, OpenAI announced that its AI system "proved that the ETH is false, a result that was subsequently verified in Lean." (see: https://openai.com/index/building-scientific-understanding-with-academic-communities/)
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a disproof of the Exponential Time Hypothesis is confirmed through at least one of the qualifying confirmation methods listed below by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The "Exponential Time Hypothesis" refers to the conjecture formulated by Russell Impagliazzo and Ramamohan Paturi that the 3-SAT problem cannot be solved in subexponential time.
- A "disproof" refers to any mathematical proof that the Exponential Time Hypothesis is false, including the proof presented in OpenAI's paper titled "The Exponential Time Hypothesis is False" (https://github.com/openai/math/blob/main/preprints/The-Exponential-Time-Hypothesis-is-False-October-25-2026/paper.pdf) and any corrected, revised, or extended version of it, whether by OpenAI or by others.
- Confirmations that only establish a weaker result, such as a faster algorithm that does not refute the Exponential Time Hypothesis, or that only establish that OpenAI's Lean code compiles, will not qualify.