PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: 40-64
Resolvido: 9 de set. de 2026, 18:02
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
40-64
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
47%
SurpresaAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 10 de set. de 2026, 13:27 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
<403%
90-1144%
65-890%
40-6495%
140-1640%
165-1890%
40-64Ganhou
<40Perdeu
65-89Perdeu
90-114Perdeu
115-139Perdeu
140-164Perdeu
165-189Perdeu
190-214Perdeu
215-239Perdeu
240+Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk and Donald Trump publicly support different candidates in any 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsHow rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
KalshiElon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
KalshiElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.