Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 23 de out. de 2026, 22:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 87%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 49 minutos
Atrasado20/08/25, 18:25 UTC31/12/26, 18:56 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketWhich year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves YES if Elon Musk posts a message on X (formerly Twitter) containing the exact phrase "Manifold Markets" before January 1, 2027.
- Case-insensitive.
- The post must be publicly posted by Elon Musk’s official account @elonmusk.
- Retweets do not count.
- I will also accept "Manifoldmarkets" or any links to Manifold containing "Manifold.markets" in the tweet.
- I will NOT accept any other variants, such as "Manifold, markets" or "Manifold market".
