PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
0.2% 67.7%-3.0ptLíder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
324,9 €
Liquidez
6,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComments
0
Variação 7d
+1.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
31/07/26, 23:4426/08/26, 13:30
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-3.0pt67.3%
- 25 bps increase+3.5pt31.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.2pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 39,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 3,6 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+7.0pt56%
- No-7.0pt44%
- Volume total
- € 6,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 146,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+4.5pt33%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause-6.5pt64.7%
- Pause–Pause–Cut1%
- Other+7.5pt34.3%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 106,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 8,6 mil
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 47,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- CPI in August
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Core PCE MoM - July 2026?
- A Polymarket cota 0.2% em 68% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Core PCE MoM - July 2026 é resolvido?
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 26 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Core PCE MoM - July 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.