PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Texas 19%Líder entre 16 opções
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
180,9 €
Liquidez
130,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComments
0
Variação 7d
-6.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
26/06/26, 20:043/11/26, 23:59
Tendências
0%
Regras
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
- If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm Texas 17% · 3 plataformas · faixa de 2 pt
Mercados abertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.1%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-2.0pt13.3%
+44 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 161,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 682,5 mil
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+3.2pt21%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.6pt15%
+125 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt63.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.6pt33.3%
- Renan Santos-2.0pt3%
+29 mais resultados
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-4.0pt60%
- Ralph Norman+4.0pt31.8%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 11,9 mi
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+1.8pt22%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Marco Rubio-0.6pt11%
+125 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance+0.1pt47%
- Marco Rubio-0.5pt21%
+125 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Closest Senate Race??
- A Polymarket cota Texas em 19% em 22 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Closest Senate Race? é resolvido?
- Closest Senate Race? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Closest Senate Race? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Onde mais Closest Senate Race? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em PredictIt, Kalshi.