Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 18 de ago. de 2026, 17:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Alaska 0%Líder entre 9 opções
Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pergunta
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Volume 24h
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
Tendências
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Regras
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the 2026 Senate election, among those listed in this market, that is won by the smallest percentage margin of the popular vote between the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Should a state reallocate votes under a ranked-choice voting system, this market shall be resolved according to the popular vote count of the last reported round.
- Should any election go to a second round, this market shall be resolved according to the results from that second round.
All listed contracts refer to regularly scheduled general election races.
The margin of victory shall be calculated by using the difference between the percentage of votes for the first place winner and the percentage of votes for the second place winner. - Percentages of the popular vote shall be determined by dividing the number of votes won by each candidate over the total of votes for all ballot-listed candidates and write-ins officially reported.
- In a ranked-choice election, only votes that are active in the last round reported shall be considered.
Should the most specific data available indicate a tie between two or more contests, this market will resolve in favor of the first alphabetical state among those so tied.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm Texas 17% · 2 plataformas · faixa de 2 pt
Mercados abertos
Politics
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- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which 2026 Senate race will be the closest??
- A PredictIt cota Alaska em 0% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Which 2026 Senate race will be the closest? é liquidado?
- A PredictIt liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the 2026 Senate election, among those listed in this market, that is won by the smallest percentage margin of the popular vote between the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Onde mais Which 2026 Senate race will be the closest? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket, Kalshi.