Probabilidade implícita atual
<17% 38.8%+11.5ptLíder entre 4 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,7 mil €
Liquidez
37,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
20/08/26, 18:21 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share??
- A Polymarket cota <17% em 39% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? é resolvido?
- Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.