Probabilidade implícita atual
8-11% 52.9%+1.0ptLíder entre 4 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
76 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
2,6 mil €
Liquidez
30,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+15.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
20/08/26, 18:34 UTC20/09/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.