Este mercado foi resolvido: <8%
Resolvido: 21 de set. de 2026, 16:15
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
<8%
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
97%
ConsensoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 22 de set. de 2026, 01:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
11-14%2%
<8%99%
8-11%0%
<8%Ganhou
8-11%Perdeu
11-14%Perdeu
14%+Perdeu
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KalshiRegras
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.