KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
At least 30% · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
At least 30% 95.5%Líder entre 8 opções
At least 30% 95.5%Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
218,7 €
Contratos em aberto
8,9 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
At least 30%Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
21/09/26, 18:30 UTC25/01/27, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · At least 30%
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 42% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (RIK)
- The value is the Student List - Students Win percentage of valid votes in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election. It is calculated as 100 × the list’s vote count divided by the total valid-ballot count in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places, with exact halfway values rounded up. Preliminary or partial tallies do not qualify. A displayed percentage calculated using all ballots cast is not used; invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from this market’s denominator. This explicitly selects the nationwide general report under POLITICALSTAT’s release-selection provision. Later revisions, corrections or updates to that report do not affect resolution. If no qualifying report is released by expiration, the contract’s last-fair-price rule applies.
Regras de cada resultado
- At least 30%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 30% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 34%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 34% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 38%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 38% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 42%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 42% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 46%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 46% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 50% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 54% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 58% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.