KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
SNS-led list 82.2%+7.0ptAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
648,5 €
Liquidez
1,1 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
79.0% / 85.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
29/06/26, 16:30 UTC30/06/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Republic Electoral Commission
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list containing the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS).
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list designated as its national parliamentary electoral list by the university students organizing Serbia’s nationwide university blockades, provided that the list does not contain SNS.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Serbian parliamentary election winner??
- A Kalshi cota SNS-led list em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Serbian parliamentary election winner? é resolvido?
- Serbian parliamentary election winner? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de junho de 2027.
- Como Serbian parliamentary election winner? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.