KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoLiquidado pelo provedor, mercado por mercado
Resolvido: 30 de set. de 2026, 18:38
Este evento não tem um único vencedor. O provedor liquidou cada mercado separadamente; cada mercado mostra seu próprio resultado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 30 de set. de 2026, 18:35 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
At least 5%1%
At least 7%1%
At least 9%1%
At least 13%1%
At least 11%1%
At least 5%Perdeu
At least 7%Perdeu
At least 9%Perdeu
At least 11%Perdeu
At least 13%Perdeu
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If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
