2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1.3% (24h)Ciência WeatherYearly18d

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Probabilidade implícita atual

2nd hottest 85%+5.5%

Líder entre 4 opções

Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

203,4 €

Liquidez

11,9 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

3.3% / 7.7%

Spread

133.3%

Spread amplo

Variação 7d

-6.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

26/05/26, 23:5230/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

2nd hottest85%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record.

Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

6,7 €

Sim: 32%

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

5,6 €

Sim: 31%

KALSHI

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

3,3 €

Above 2: 67%

KALSHI

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

3,7 mil €

2: 63%

POLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,816.38+2.07%

EthereumETH$1,657.02+1.41%

SolanaSOL$65.22+2.11%

HyperliquidHYPE$55.80+0.50%

XRPXRP$1.12+0.67%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.67%

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Regras

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record.

Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1.3% (24h)Ciência WeatherYearly18d

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Probabilidade implícita atual

2nd hottest 85%+5.5%

Líder entre 4 opções

Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

203,4 €

Liquidez

11,9 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

3.3% / 7.7%

Spread

133.3%

Spread amplo

Variação 7d

-6.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

26/05/26, 23:5230/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

2nd hottest85%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record.

Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Mercados Relacionados

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

173,3 €

Sim: 20.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

95,1 €

<4m: 51%

POLYMARKET

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

6,7 €

Sim: 32%

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

5,6 €

Sim: 31%

KALSHI

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

3,3 €

Above 2: 67%

KALSHI

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

3,7 mil €

2: 63%

POLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,816.38+2.07%

EthereumETH$1,657.02+1.41%

SolanaSOL$65.22+2.11%

HyperliquidHYPE$55.80+0.50%

XRPXRP$1.12+0.67%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.67%

Notícias Relacionadas

Anthropic’s Claude Tackles Chemistry with NMR Structure AnalysisBlockchain.News

Quantus’ Q-Day Brings Together Leading Cryptographers, Blockchain Builders, Investors, and Researchers to Prepare for the Post-Quantum FutureBlockchain Reporter

Regras

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record.

Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.