Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado17/07/26, 04:01 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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ARR, at any point before 2029.
- If either company is acquired / merged into some other larger company, we'll vibe-resolve with 2029 AI (it will be very smart)
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.6pt70.7%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt13.1%
- Grok+0.8pt7.1%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 50,3 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-1.0pt89%
- December 31,-3.5pt88%
- November 30,-6.5pt85%
+7 mais resultados
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- ↑$900B+10.4pt100%
- ↑$1.0T-4.5pt82%
- ↑$1.25T-4.5pt57%
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KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude+1.0pt91.7%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini0.9%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 60,6 mil
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+2.0pt91.4%
- Grok+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini1.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 425,5 mil
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-9.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt84%
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- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029? é resolvido?
- Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: ARR, at any point before 2029.