Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 72%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado11/06/25, 23:08 UTC1/02/27, 00:00 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post the void is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercados abertos
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- Above 24%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "the void" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 72% em 23 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will "the void" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? é resolvido?
- Will "the void" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Will "the void" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.