Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
8.0 pts (24h)One-OffCiênciaWeather
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 75%-8.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
440,5 €
Liquidez
4,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
75.0% / 77.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
5/06/25, 16:451/01/50, 4:59
Tendências
Regras
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:NASA Goddard
Institute for Space StudiesNCEIBerkeley EarthUK Met Office Hadley Centre (HadCRUT)
- At least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050??
- A Kalshi cota Yes em 75% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? é resolvido?
- Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2050.
- Como Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.