Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 94.7%
Previsores
41
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado24/12/24, 02:36 UTC2/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US control Greenland in 2026?
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KalshiRegras
If the US clearly has territorial sovereignty, whether de facto or de jure, over the entirety of the island of Greenland sometime before January 1, 2027, this market resolves YES, otherwise this market resolves NO on 1/1/27.
- If the US enters into a Compact of Free Association with Greenland, Greenland is administered under an independent Greenlandic administration, Greenland is administered by both the US and Denmark, the US gains mineral/exploration rights but not political control, or if only a part of Greenland is subject to the US (ex.
- Pituffik Space Base right now, future military bases), this market resolves NO.
- If Greenland is administered as a semi-autonomous region but can still be ultimately subject to the US federal government, ex.
- US tribal lands, this market resolves YES.
- If the US temporarily leases the entire island of Greenland and has control over the island and its affairs sometime before 2026, this market still resolves YES even if that control expired.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026? é resolvido?
- Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the US clearly has territorial sovereignty, whether de facto or de jure, over the entirety of the island of Greenland sometime before January 1, 2027, this market resolves YES, otherwise this market resolves NO on 1/1/27.