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PolymarketRegras
This event predicts whether the United States will exercise sovereign control over the majority (at least 50%) of Greenland's territory at any time between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, “control” means formal transfer of sovereignty or governance authority over Greenland to the United States.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official treaties, legislation, or executive actions by the U.S. and Danish/Greenlandic authorities confirming such a transfer.
- If Greenland is formally placed under U.S. sovereign control during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Military presence, basing agreements, or economic influence without sovereignty transfer will not count.
