Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 67.7%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado5/01/26, 16:44 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the USA controls Venezuela by December 31, 2026. "Control" is defined as the Trump administration's stated objective of running the country until a political transition occurs.
- Resolution will be determined by whether the US maintains effective administrative and military control over Venezuelan territory and governance, as evidenced by:
- Continued US military presence and operational authority in Venezuela
- US direction of Venezuelan government functions and policy
- US control over Venezuelan oil infrastructure and resource extraction
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 68% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end? é resolvido?
- Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria