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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

YearlyPolíticaGeopolíticaLatin America6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez 91%
Líder entre 43 opções
Qualidade do mercado

56 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

114,9 €

Liquidez

441,6 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

0.1% / 0.2%

Spread

100.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

4/05/26, 19:5831/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
0%
Edmundo González
Edmundo González
0%

Resultado escolhido

Delcy Rodríguez91%

Regras

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
  • Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
  • If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
  • Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
  • Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.

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Delcy Rodríguez: 90%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,654.11+2.24%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.55%EthereumETH$1,650.53+1.54%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.54%HyperliquidHYPE$55.05-0.50%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%

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Regras

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
  • Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
  • If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
  • Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
  • Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.