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  3. U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaLatin America6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 7%
Qualidade do mercado

64 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

790,9 €

Liquidez

23,1 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

6.0% / 8.0%

Spread

33.3%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-1.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

31/01/26, 0:2531/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes7%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
  • A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
  • Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
  • A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
  • Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.