U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
One-OffPolíticaGeopolíticaLatin AmericaUS Politics3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 97%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
21 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
2.9% / 3.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
31/01/26, 00:24 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
- A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
- Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
