KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Aguardando resolução verificada
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Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 17:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Dec 1, 2026 99%+82.0ptLíder entre 4 opções
Before Dec 1, 2026 99%+82.0ptQualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
7,6 mil €
Contratos em aberto
32,4 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado30/06/26, 00:35 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Before Dec 1, 202699%
Before Apr 1, 202798%
Before Jan 1, 202795%
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhat will happen when María Corina Machado returns to Venezuela ? [add answers] (reupload)
Manifold MarketsWill Maria Corina Machado ever be President of Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsRegras
A regra exata deste resultado não está disponível.
Liquida via:The Guardianofficial representatives or offices of María Corina MachadoFox Newsofficial social media accounts of María Corina Machado or her official representativesSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersofficial government sources of VenezuelaThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsAxiosABCCBSNBCBBC
- The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If María Corina Machado has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.