Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBan use of open Chinese models by government applications in production 70.9%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
8/07/26, 14:4331/12/27, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Ban use of open Chinese models by government applications in production71%
Tendência de volume
$668 de jul.5d de dados22 de jul.
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A ban or restriction has to come from the federal government (any branch) and has to actually go into effect.
- If a ban is announced but the effective date is in 2028, I'll extend the close date to it's effective date.
- I'll buffer to allow for legal challenges within 1 month of effective date (eg: if ban goes into effect Jan 1, but court blocks on Jan 5, I won't count that as a ban).
- I will not bet so I can subjectively decide if narrow exceptions count.
- For the types of exceptions I can imagine:
- company size limits still count: "companies over X employees can't use Y model" is a ban.