KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 80%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
15.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
20/07/26, 22:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
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- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
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- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 325 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 mais resultados
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.