Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027
RegulamentaçãoIAOne-OffChinaEurope3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85.6%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado19/03/26, 16:50 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any country officially bans or heavily restricts the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution is based on official government announcements or legislation that explicitly prohibits or substantially restricts deployment of advanced AI systems (such as large language models, foundation models, or general-purpose AI systems).
- A "ban" means prohibition of use or deployment.
- A "heavy restriction" means requirements that effectively prevent widespread commercial use, such as: mandatory licensing with severe limitations, operational bans in key sectors, or restrictions requiring systems to be substantially modified or disabled.
- Restrictions on specific AI applications (e.g., biometric surveillance, emotion recognition) do not count unless they effectively prevent the use of advanced AI systems broadly.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027 é resolvido?
- Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria