Will a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027?
RegulamentaçãoIAOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEurope3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.8%
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7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado18/03/26, 15:46 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any country enacts a law that explicitly bans the development, deployment, or use of "advanced AI systems" before January 1, 2027.
- The ban must be a binding legal prohibition, not merely regulatory restrictions, licensing requirements, or risk-based compliance frameworks.
- For resolution purposes:
- "Advanced AI systems" refers to frontier or general-purpose AI models with significant capabilities (e.g., systems comparable to GPT-4 or similar large language models)
- The ban must apply to the entire country or a substantial portion of its territory
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria