Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?
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Desatualizado22/05/26, 23:08 UTC1/01/29, 00:59 UTC
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The Guardian: AI will help make a Nobel prize-winning discovery within a year, says Anthropic co-founder
- Sam Bowman on X (Imgur backup)
- TL;DR Jack Clark of AI lab Anthropic gave a lecture at Oxford where, among other things, he showed a slide shown in [2] which featured some of his own predictions, which was a subject of The Guardian's article in [1].
- The ones above the line are used as basis for questions in this market.
- The questions are lightly paraphrased to save space; refer to the original slide for full phrasing and see the resolution criteria below for more info.
- Notes on resolution criteria:
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true??
- A Manifold Markets cota Apr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work em 55% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true? é resolvido?
- Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The Guardian: AI will help make a Nobel prize-winning discovery within a year, says Anthropic co-founder