Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?
PolíticaGeopolítica2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
January 20, 2029 (Whole term) 49.4%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
53
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado7/11/24, 19:29 UTC21/01/29, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
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FutuurRegras
Resolves YES if the Trump admin deploys federal law enforcement or the military to crack down on a protest by "radical left lunatics"
- I am defining crackdown here to mean a severe retaliation for a protest and/or riot, not necessarily done by any political affiliation (to not complicate the resolution criteria).
- This either means:
- 500+ arrests and/or 100+ injuries in a day across the US
- 2,000+ arrests and/or 400+ injuries in any 7-day period across the US
- (For reference, BLM protests and riots following George Floyd's death saw 14,000 arrests in ~a month)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date??
- A Manifold Markets cota January 20, 2029 (Whole term) em 49% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date? é resolvido?
- Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the Trump admin deploys federal law enforcement or the military to crack down on a protest by "radical left lunatics"