Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
TecnologiaOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.6%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado8/01/25, 14:50 UTC21/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple provide the content of an iMessage message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?
Manifold MarketsComprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
PolymarketBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegras
Background: WhatsApp, owned by Meta, currently uses end-to-end encryption for all messages, meaning only the sender and recipient can read message contents.
- While WhatsApp can and does share certain metadata with law enforcement, they cannot access the actual content of encrypted messages in the current version of the Whatsapp software.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if, before January 20, 2029, one of the listed Internet news sites reports that Meta has provided the content of at least one WhatsApp message to a US law enforcement agency. "Content" refers to the actual text, images, videos, or other media sent in messages, not to metadata such as user names, IP addresses, or timestamps.
- Internet news sites: 404 Media, Ars Technica, Business Insider, The Markup, ProPublica, The Register, TechCrunch, The Verge.