If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolítica2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 65.6%
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33
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado8/06/25, 05:39 UTC20/01/29, 11:59 UTC
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I'll look at the net approval rating at https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin one week after at least one protestor got shot by law enforcement.
- It doesn't matter what agency the agent was from who shot the protestor(s).
- National guard or military counts as well, as long as it happened while they were on duty, responding to a protest.
- If no protestors get shot during the second term I'll resolve the market N/A. If net approval is exactly identical in Silver's report, this resolves NO, since it didn't go up.
- It's irrelevant for the market condition if the protestor survives.
- As long as they were hit by a proper, potentially deadly bullet, not rubber bullets or teargas or similar, it counts.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up? é resolvido?
- If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I'll look at the net approval rating at https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin one week after at least one protestor got shot by law enforcement.