Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?
InflationCustomEquitiesBusiness & Corporate3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 69.2%
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado14/05/26, 13:01 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Shiller P/E Ratio exceed 50 by Jan 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the S&P 500 Shiller PE ratio get before its next 30% drawdown?
Manifold MarketsWill the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040?
Manifold MarketsCrude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketBitcoin all time high by which date?
PolymarketKOSPI all-time high before 2028?
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio, commonly known as the Shiller P/E ratio, reaches a value higher than its previous all-time high at any point before January 1, 2030.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- The primary source for verification will be the data provided by the following website: https://shillerdata.com/.
- The Shiller P/E, or CAPE ratio, is a valuation measure usually applied to the S&P 500 index.
- It is defined as the price of the index divided by the average of ten years of earnings, adjusted for inflation.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 91 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 569,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,4 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 359,2 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 79,7 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 18,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,3 mil
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 69% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? é resolvido?
- Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria