Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 55.9%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado17/03/25, 18:05 UTC31/12/39, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created.
- Only closing prices will be considered.
- For example:
- The S&P 500 current closing ATH is 6,144.15.
- If it falls below 3072.28 (50% drop) at any point before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
- If the S&P 500 reaches a new ATH (e.g., 10,000) and then falls below 5,000 (50% drop from that new ATH) before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
Mercados abertos
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- Volume 24h
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- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt15.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.5%
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- € 5,6 mi
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- Up24.8%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- € 27,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 56% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? é resolvido?
- Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2039.
- Como Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created.