PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
2.4% 37.2%+1.5ptLíder entre 10 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
58 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
522,5 €
Liquidez
9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Variação 7d
+2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
12/08/26, 14:1711/09/26, 3:59
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 36,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- € 6,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 64,4 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 106,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 13,5 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 45,6 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Core CPI YoY - August 2026?
- A Polymarket cota 2.4% em 37% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Core CPI YoY - August 2026 é resolvido?
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Core CPI YoY - August 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Onde mais Core CPI YoY - August 2026 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.