Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028?
PolíticaIAOne-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80%
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado28/02/26, 16:56 UTC31/12/28, 16:48 UTC
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Examples of what I would consider meaningful negative impacts:
- A significant drop in userbase or subscribers that seems to be connected
- Impactful hostile government action targeting OpenAI or Sam Altman by e.g. a Democratic controlled congress
- Retribution from the Trump administration because OpenAI reneged on the deal
- This may resolve YES early if something significant and unambiguously negative happens.
- If it is ambiguous, I will not resolve hastily and may extend the resolution deadline until I am convinced one way or the other.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028? é resolvido?
- Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Examples of what I would consider meaningful negative impacts: