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  3. When, where or how will Trump die?
When, where or how will Trump die?

When, where or how will Trump die?

PolíticaOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsEleiçãoIAGeopolítica18a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
2025
2025 0%
Líder entre 77 opções
Previsores

321

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 10 horas

Desatualizado
4/01/25, 15:151/01/45, 22:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

20264%

Regras

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.

Manifold Markets
  • He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
  • According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
  • Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
  • If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
  • The market will resolve N/A if:

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Regras

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.

Manifold Markets
  • He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
  • According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
  • Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
  • If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
  • The market will resolve N/A if: