When, where or how will Trump die?
PolíticaOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsEleiçãoIAGeopolítica18a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOn Earth 99%Líder entre 79 opções
Previsores
323
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
4/01/25, 15:151/01/45, 22:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
20264%
Tendência de volume
$229 de jul.11d de dados28 de jul.
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Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.
- He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
- According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
- If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if: