Donald Trump morrerá ou ficará gravemente doente antes do fim do seu mandato?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 82%
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969
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 6 minutos
12/11/24, 19:10 UTC19/01/29, 21:59 UTC
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The market resolves “Yes” if Donald Trump either passes away or becomes so ill that he is officially unable to continue in his role, leading to someone else taking over his responsibilities.
- I won’t be betting on this market.
- Update 2025-08-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A temporary transfer of power will not resolve Yes.
- The intent is a permanent inability to serve—e.g., death or an official determination resulting in someone else taking over his responsibilities.
- Update 2025-09-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Health-motivated resignation by Trump will resolve to Yes; no 25th Amendment invocation is required.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Donald Trump morrerá ou ficará gravemente doente antes do fim do seu mandato??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Donald Trump morrerá ou ficará gravemente doente antes do fim do seu mandato? é resolvido?
- Donald Trump morrerá ou ficará gravemente doente antes do fim do seu mandato? deverá ser resolvido em 19 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Donald Trump morrerá ou ficará gravemente doente antes do fim do seu mandato? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The market resolves “Yes” if Donald Trump either passes away or becomes so ill that he is officially unable to continue in his role, leading to someone else taking over his responsibilities.