Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJoe Biden 53.9%
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado18/06/24, 13:00 UTC19/01/29, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
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FutuurRegras
Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.
- This, among other problems, brings an increased risk for death from natural causes.
- The male life expectancy in the USA is 73.5 years, an age they both passed already.
- What is the chance they pass away from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
- This market resolves per person to YES once they die of natural causes, NO if they die from non natural causes, and NO if they are alive on the end of the next presidential term (20th of January 2029), whichever comes first.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term??
- A Manifold Markets cota Joe Biden em 54% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? é resolvido?
- Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? deverá ser resolvido em 19 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.