Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
6.4 pts (24h)Política2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJoe Biden 46.4%+6.4pt
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+6.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado18/06/24, 13:00 UTC19/01/29, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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FutuurRegras
Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.
- This, among other problems, brings an increased risk for death from natural causes.
- The male life expectancy in the USA is 73.5 years, an age they both passed already.
- What is the chance they pass away from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
- This market resolves per person to YES once they die of natural causes, NO if they die from non natural causes, and NO if they are alive on the end of the next presidential term (20th of January 2029), whichever comes first.
