Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 82.9%
Previsores
50
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado7/11/24, 01:55 UTC20/01/29, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNJ-07 House winner?
KalshiRegras
Only resolves true if natural causes/old age prior to 1/20/2029.
- Outside intentional influence resolves as false.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 691,8 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,6 mi
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 83% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age. é resolvido?
- Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age. deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age. é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Only resolves true if natural causes/old age prior to 1/20/2029.