Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 79.5%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado18/03/24, 13:45 UTC2/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.
Manifold MarketsWho will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRegras
If Biden Wins Presidency:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/will-donald-trump-survive-through-t-4336685a1df9)Will Biden Survive:
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 691,8 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,6 mi
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election? é resolvido?
- Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Biden Wins Presidency: