Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
2.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2a
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 83.2%+2.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
58 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
25,9 €
Liquidez
34 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
14.0% / 19.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
1
Variação 7d
-3.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
30/07/26, 15:16 UTC7/11/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election wins the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The following rules govern the determination of the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election:
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- An endorsement of an individual for the Republican Party’s nomination in the 2028 United States Presidential Election will qualify as an endorsement for the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- Endorsements of a candidate for the Democratic Party's nomination without also endorsing that candidate for President in the general election will not qualify.
