Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Não · —
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Referência guardada
Não 67%
Não 67%Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
28 mil €
Alta liquidezContratos em aberto
319,6 US$
Compra / Venda
— / —
NãoSpread
—
Comentários
1
Variação 7d
+0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
30/07/26, 15:16 UTC8/11/28, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Maiores detentores
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Profundidade de mercado · Não
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
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FutuurWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election wins the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The following rules govern the determination of the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election:
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- An endorsement of an individual for the Republican Party’s nomination in the 2028 United States Presidential Election will qualify as an endorsement for the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- Endorsements of a candidate for the Democratic Party's nomination without also endorsing that candidate for President in the general election will not qualify.
